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Location: Ames, Iowa, United States

Thursday, May 11, 2006

Newmax Says Republican Majority At Risk

Here is another piece I received Sunday via email from Newsmax. It says basically the same thing as my last post, quoting another poll.

Charlie Cook Sees GOP Problems in '06 Elections

Signs are pointing to a bumpy ride for Republicans in this year's midterm elections - and voter turnout could turn out to be a major problem.

That's the word from pundit Charlie Cook, writer of the "Off to the Races" column for the Washington, D.C.-based National Journal Group.

Cook points to a new Cook Political Report/RT Strategies national survey of more than 1,000 adults, which found that 60 percent of Democrats said they were "most likely" to vote in November, compared to only 51 percent of Republicans.

That amounts to a sharp departure from the last two elections, when Republicans turned out in higher numbers.

"History tells us that when one party is either complacent or disillusioned, and the other party is highly motivated, agitated or angry, the results can be devastating to the former while providing boundless opportunities for the latter," Cook writes.

RT Strategies also found that 49 percent of registered voters said they would like to see the Democrats in control of Congress after the elections, compared to 37 percent who favored Republicans.

And when asked if they planned to vote for the Democratic candidate for Congress or the Republican, 50 percent of "most likely" voters said Democrat and 32 percent said Republican.

The GOP faces not only serious misgivings among voters about the war in Iraq, but also "a combination of Social Security, mounting budget deficits, Hurricane Katrina, Harriet Miers, port security, immigration, gasoline prices and various scandals," according to Cook.

President Bush is perceived as strong in the war on terrorism, but only 7 percent of respondents selected terrorism as the one issue that will matter most in deciding how to vote for the U.S. House in November.

The poll also showed that only 25 percent of registered voters would definitely vote to re-elect their member of Congress, while 36 percent said they would consider voting for another candidate and 21 percent they would definitely vote for someone else - an ominous finding for the incumbent party.

Tell your congress person and senator what you want for him/her to get your vote.
It's time that we all be heard from directly.

I'll be back



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